石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據OGJ網站1月11日休斯敦報道，根據全球著名能源咨詢公司伍德麥肯茲公司（WM）的全球石油展望報告，今年全球最終投資決定（FID）數目預計將增加一倍，而勘探和生產的支出將出現2014年以來的首次增加。
這家研究和咨詢公司在報告中認為油氣行業的信心開始恢復，今年全球勘探和生產的支出將增加3%至4500億美元，但比2014年水平仍低40%以及成本預計略微下降。
WM在報告中指出，在過去兩年里資本支出通貨緊縮平均為20%。由于服務部門利潤微薄，WM認為現在只有小量減少的空間以及資本成本預計平均下降3%至7%。
WM在報告中預測，今年全球FID數目將從去年只有9個增加到20多個。雖然這個數字仍低于2010-2014年每年40個平均數，但新項目通常規模更小和更有效率，每桶石油當量的資本支出平均只有7美元/桶，遠遠低于2014年項目的每桶17美元。
李峻 編譯
?
原文如下：
WoodMac: New upstream projects to double globally in 2017
HOUSTON
01/11/2017
OGJ
Final investment decisions (FID) are expected to double globally in 2017 while exploration and production spending will increase for the first time since 2014, according to Wood Mackenzie Ltd.’s global upstream outlook.
The research and consulting firm sees confidence beginning to return to the industry, with E&P spending up 3% to $450 billion—though still 40% below the 2014 level—and costs are expected to decline marginally.
WoodMac notes that capital expenditure deflation has averaged 20% over the past 2 years. With service sector margins thin, the firm believes there’s now only room for small reductions and capital costs are expected to fall by an average of 3-7%.
US Lower 48 spending is set to rise 23% to $61 billion, with upside if oil prices rise markedly and US independents are emboldened by a Trump presidency. Tight oil and the Permian basin in particular is expected to lead the way, distinguished by low breakevens, scale, and flexibility.
WoodMac predicts the number of global FIDs will rise to more than 20 in 2017, compared with just nine in 2016. While it’s still short of the 2010-14 average of 40/year, the new projects are generally smaller and more efficient, with capex per barrel of oil equivalent averaging just $7/bbl, down from $17/bbl for the 2014 projects.
未經允許，不得轉載本站任何文章：
