中國石化新聞網訊 據道瓊斯2月21日消息,野村證券的關榮樂稱,假設歐佩克成員國維持當前90%的減產協議執行率,而且全球需求像預期的那樣增加140萬桶/日,那么盡管美國原油產量將反彈,石油市場也將在今年年底前轉為供應短缺。他表示,美國增加的產量不可能彌補歐佩克減產帶來的供應缺口,因為他預計美國要到2019年才能使原油日產量增幅達到100萬桶。
唐紹紅摘譯自道瓊斯
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原文如下:
Shale Producers Can’t Offset OPEC Output Cuts
Assuming OPEC nations maintain their current compliance rate of 90% to the recent supply-cut agreement and global demand does rise 1.4 million barrels/day as forecasted, oil market will move into deficit by year’s end despite rebounding US output, says Nomura’s Gordon Kwan. “No way the US can make up that difference” from OPEC reductions. That as he sees US production needing until 2019 to log daily growth of 1 million barrels.
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