
必和必拓公司進軍油氣業,能否順利?
作者 |? Javier Blas?
編譯 | 甲基橙 王洋
盡管目前油氣業仍處于低油價和低景氣周期,但行業復蘇的跡象已非常明顯,尤其是在美國頁巖區塊,各油氣公司的紛紛加大投資,如火如荼地進行著勘探開發,澳大利亞的必和必拓(BHP Billiton)公司也不甘示弱,加快該地區的投資進程,但卻遭到其股東的反對。
看好二疊盆地油氣投資
近日,諸如Shell、必和必拓、Anadarko石油公司以及先鋒自然資源公司紛紛在二疊紀盆地樹起各自的公司旗幟,表明其所屬開發權。
蓬勃發展的美國西部德克薩斯頁巖油氣業對于必和必拓公司來說,似乎相對陌生。但必和必拓公司已屹立油氣業多年,石油業務遍及澳大利亞、英國、墨西哥灣(美國)、阿爾及利亞和巴基斯坦。鑒于其美國油田資產的巨大價值,必和必拓激進派股東Paul Singer督促該公司剝離石油業務,但很快就遭到了公司上下的反對。
必和必拓的CEO Andrew Mackenzie稱,他們必須捍衛其長期發展戰略,維護石油這一“核心”業務。在他看來,當前局勢正處于緊要關頭。一方面,他認為石油是公司兩種大宗商品中增長潛力最大的。他在2月份曾向投資者表示,“我們目前的油氣業務遍及美國、澳大利亞和加勒比地區,所有這些地區的油氣資產價值高達290億美元,在今年上半年,石油將占公司潛在利潤的20%左右。我們仍看好石油的中長期增長,相信未來能夠確保將股東的利益最大化”。
必和必拓在石油行業一直占有一席之地。目前,必和必拓已經是美國墨西哥灣第四大產油商,同時也是美國頁巖油田的第八大開發商。
Elliott管理公司的創始人Singer占有必和必拓4.1%的股份,將必和必拓在美國的石油資產股權估值為220億美元。在一些分析師看來,必和必拓通過大型勘探和生產業務獲得了豐厚的多元化回報,不放棄油氣投資再正常不過了。就連休斯敦的能源投資銀行Tudor、Pickering、Holt & Co,在其給予客戶的報告中也表達了銀行對石油上漲前景看好的情緒。
拓展海上油氣開發項目
新墨西哥邊界附近、德克薩斯的Loving County的一個荒涼的角落,矗立著代表必和必拓雄心的路邊廣告牌。其昭示著必和必拓享有該區域640英畝土地的開發權,該資源地塊分為兩部分——“Amarillo By Morning”和“The 411.3-acre Dipping Dodson”。
Mackenzie正在努力經營,對拓展油氣業務信心滿滿。今年2月,他批準了對必和必拓和BP共同開發的墨西哥灣“Mad Dog Phase 2項目”22億美元的投資。而在去年12月,必和必拓擊敗其他石油巨頭,贏得與墨西哥本土公司共同開發Trion油田的機會,這也是第一個墨西哥國有石油公司與外國機構合作開發的海上油田。
投資油氣業 早有準備
六年前,必和必拓斥資151億美元收購了美國獨立能源公司Petrohawk Energy,其中包括Petrohawk Energy公司債務,此舉措大大拓展了必和必拓在油氣領域的規模。先鋒自然資源公司一直受美國頁巖油投資者的追捧,而必和必拓卻從中輕松分得一杯羹,在去年,必和必拓提供的油氣日產量高達65萬桶油當量,大約是該公司的三倍。
在澳大利亞,必和必拓是第二大石油生產商,排名僅次于Woodside石油公司,就連Shell和??松梨诘仍趦鹊膰H石油巨頭也屈居其后。
拒絕拆分 看重長期價值
Singer認為,必和必拓的美國石油業務有更大的增長空間,前提是將其剝離并在紐約上市。雖然必和必拓是一家擁有頂級資產的全球資源公司,但作為一項投資資產,必和必拓近年來的表現并不如意。Elliott管理公司稱美國石油業務的價值正在被掩蓋,而且沒有帶來有價值多元化的收益。除此以外,Elliott管理公司稱其希望看到其他能源資產的出售“正在進行中”。
Singer曾試圖改變必和必拓公司的發展戰略,實現必和必拓的改革,他只需得到其他股東——BlackRock Inc.、Legal & General Group Plc和Capital Group Inc.的支持。
馬薩諸塞州Winchester的戰略能源與經濟研究所的Michael Lynch稱,這樣的做法可能沒有任何意義,如果石油業務能帶來豐厚利潤,那么必和必拓何必去剝離它呢?
必和必拓不是第一個股東施壓要求剝離石油業務的綜合性公司,剝離方式無非是通過拆分石油業務或出售該部分資產給競爭者的方式。
與必和必拓相競爭的Freeport-McMoRan Inc.巨頭公司去年以26億美元的價格出售其大部分油氣業務給Anadarko和一個私營公司。雖然該公司也遭遇了股東的施壓,其公司負責人表示,股東們一般不喜歡公司大舉進軍石油行業,尤其是2012年的2筆交易:公司斥資200億美元買入包含債務在內的Plains Exploration & Production Co.和McMoRan Exploration Co.,但沒有理想的收益。
雖然Singer提供了一系列措施,但在必和必拓公司內部,幾乎所有的管理層都不同意剝離美國頁巖油資產,并拒絕了改變其業務結構和拆分油氣業務的建議。他們聲稱公司可通過良好的經營優化頁巖油氣資產,獲得長期的價值回報。
在去年油價較低的情況下,必和必拓減計美國頁巖油資產72億美元。但今年,必和必拓CEO表示,在未來五年,必和必拓在油氣業務方面的投資占其總投資的一半以上,他們會優先考慮石油勘探,今年對油氣公司的投資預算為10億美元。如此的大手筆進軍油氣行業,布局頁巖市場,注重長遠收益,抓住油氣行業復蘇這一大機遇,未來必和必拓登上油氣巨頭榜單,想必指日可待。
LONDON (Bloomberg) — The usual suspects have planted their flags along the dusty byways of the Permian basin, declaring where they’ve staked claims. There are names like Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Anadarko Petroleum Corp., Pioneer Natural Resources Co. And, on signs fronting a barbed-wire fence, BHP Billiton Ltd.
For the world’s largest mining company, the heart of the U.S. shale boom in West Texas might seem to be strange territory, a very long way from the iron-ore deposits of Australia or the copper mines of Chile’s Atacama desert. But BHP actually has been in the oil business for years, with operations stretching from Texas to the North Sea. Its U.S. assets alone are so valuable that activist investor Paul Singer urged the company to spin them off — a suggestion BHP rejected Monday, setting the stage for a tussle with the billionaire.
For CEO Andrew Mackenzie, a Scottish-born geologist who spent two decades at BP Plc and joined the miner in 2008, there’s a lot at stake. For one thing, oil is one of the two commodities where he sees the most potential. “Our preference is still, medium-to-long-term, to grow in oil and copper,” he told investors in February. And oil accounted for about 20% of BHP’s underlying profit in the six months ending in December.
Melbourne, Australia-based BHP is a big player in petroleum, setting it apart from such mining peers Rio Tinto Plc, Anglo American Plc and Vale SA. Right now, BHP is the fourth-largest producer in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico and the eighth-largest in U.S. shale fields. Singer’s Elliott Management Corp., which owns 4.1% of BHP, values the U.S. assets at $22 billion.
In the view of some analysts, that’s all a positive. “BHP is unique” and draws significant diversification benefits from having a large exploration and production arm, Houston-based energy investment bank Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. said in a note to clients, highlighting the bank’s bullish oil outlook.
Mad Dog Phase 2
The roadside signs in a desolate corner of Texas’s Loving County, near the border with New Mexico, are just two marks of BHP’s ambitions. They declare its rights to develop a 640-acre prospect called Amarillo By Morning and the 411.3-acre Dipping Dodson.
Mackenzie also is running bigger endeavors. In February, he approved $2.2 billion in spending on the Mad Dog Phase 2 project in the Gulf of Mexico where BHP and BP are partners. And in December, the miner outbid Big Oil competitors to team up with Mexico’s state-owned company to develop the Trion field, the first major offshore field in which Petroleos Mexicanos is working with a foreign outfit.
Six years ago, BHP boosted its volumes significantly with the acquisition of Petrohawk Energy for $15.1 billion, including debt. Last year, BHP pumped the equivalent of 650,000 bopd and natural gas — about triple what Pioneer Natural Resources, a darling of U.S. shale investors, taps from its fields. In Australia, BHP is the second-largest oil producer, behind that country’s Woodside Petroleum Ltd. and ahead of international giants including Shell and Exxon Mobil Corp.
With BHP, Singer sees more growth potential for the U.S. petroleum arm if it’s separated into an entity listed in New York. In a 10-page public letter, Elliott Management said the value of the business was “being obscured by its continued inclusion” and “provides no meaningful diversification benefits.” Beyond that, Elliott said it would like to see the sale of other energy assets “on an ongoing basis.”
Singer has a history of trying to shake up the strategies of the companies in which he invests. He just needs to garner the support of other top shareholders, which include BlackRock Inc., Legal & General Group Plc and Capital Group Inc.
Michael Lynch of Strategic Energy & Economic Research in Winchester, Massachusetts, said the move may not make sense. “If you’re doing a good job making money in oil, there’s no reason to dispose of it,” he said.
BHP isn’t the first miner under pressure from activists to get out of oil, either through a spin off or an outright sale to a competitor. Copper giant Freeport-McMoRan Inc. last year sold much of its oil and gas businesses, in deals with Anadarko and a privately owned company worth $2.6 billion.
Although Freeport was also under pressure from an activist investor, in this case Carl Icahn, shareholders generally disliked the company’s big foray into oil, particularly two deals in 2012 to buy Plains Exploration & Production Co. and McMoRan Exploration Co. for roughly $20 billion, including debt.
For BHP, management has so far disagreed with separating U.S. oil assets from the larger company, saying it could “optimize the long-term value of the petroleum business through operating excellence.” The company also said there wasn’t an “obvious discount” between its valuation and a basket of oil and mining peers.
For all that, Singer “has provided a sensible set of suggestions,” Hunter Hillcoat, mining analyst at Investec Securities Ltd., said in a note to clients. What he proposed is “certainly the start of some agitation that BHP will need to defend.”
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