石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 芝加哥晨星公司（Morningstar）調查顯示，汽油需求減少和較低的零售價可能會破壞歐佩克減產提振油價的努力。上周，歐佩克成功延長減產，但減產量不敵美國頁巖油的大幅增長。墨西哥灣沿岸煉油廠發揮積極作用——只要煉油廠原油需求保持高位，油價就有望上漲。晨星表示，要想實現歐佩克減產救市的愿望，需滿足兩個條件：一，國內外汽油需求上升，庫存下降；二，天然氣和柴油上漲。否則，歐佩克的減產努力恐大打折扣。 施苗苗 編譯自 FuelFix 原文如下： Gas demand and prices key to OPEC success Reduced demand for gasoline and lower pump prices could undermine the Organization of Petroleum Producing Countries’ attempts to cut crude oil production and boost prices, according to research from the Chicago-based firm Morningstar. Last week, OPEC agreed to continue its production cuts, but those cuts are offset by strong U.S. shale production and record inventory that threaten to keep oil prices lower. Gulf Coast refining production is helping — during the week of May 19, refineries processed 9.4 million barrels a day, higher than the 10 year average, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. As long as crude demand remains high from refineries, the price of oil is expected to rise. But there are two conditions that, if not met, could upset OPEC’s attempts to boost the oil market, according to Morningstar. First, domestic and international gasoline demand will need to rise and keep inventories down. And second, gas and diesel prices will have to go up. But if prices remain low, refineries will struggle to process more crude as oil prices rise. “Our analysis shows that Gulf Coast diesel demand has driven refinery throughput, but gasoline inventories point to weaker margins ahead. Lower margins are likely to stall the refining revival and prolong the crude surplus despite OPEC’s efforts,” the Morningstar report said. ?
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