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專家:歐佩克減產協議需要延長到明年年底

中國石化新聞網訊 據《世界石油新聞》9月3日倫敦報道,英國經濟研究和咨詢公司Capital Economocs的大宗商品經濟學家托馬斯·皮尤9月1日對采訪他的阿塞拜疆Trend通訊社記者說,歐佩克的減產協議應該延長到2018年年底。 早些時候,沙特阿拉伯和俄羅斯曾建議把歐佩克減產協議延長到2018年6月。 皮尤說:“我不認為把它延長到6月就足夠了。他們必須將其延長到2018年年底才能做出任何改變?!?皮尤認為,即使延長這一減產協議也可能會鼓勵美國頁巖油產量進一步增長。 他補充說:“由于像伊拉克那樣的國家仍沒有遵守減產協議,因此,我也不相信這項減產協議將會得到延長?!?他指出,除非石油生產或煉油廠遭到嚴重破壞,否則減產協議不太可能對市場產生長期影響。 李峻 編譯自 世界石油新聞 原文如下: OPEC deal needs to be extended by end of 2018-expert OPEC deal to cut oil production should be extended by late 2018, Thomas Pugh, commodities economist at British economic research and consulting company Capital Economics told Trend Sept.1. Earlier, Saudi Arabia and Russia proposed to extend the OPEC deal until June 2018. “I don’t think extending it to June will be enough to do much. They would have to extend it until the end of 2018 in order to make any sort of difference,” said the expert. Pugh believes that even then an extension of the deal could just encourage US shale production to grow by even more. “I’m also not convinced that the deal will be extended as countries like Iraq are still not complying,” he added. He pointed out that it’s unlikely to have a long term effect on the market unless there is significant damage to oil production or refineries.
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