石油圈????中國石化新聞網訊 據普氏能源資訊2月1日安特衛普報道，全球最著名管理咨詢公司麥肯錫公司主管圖沙爾· 班賽爾日前在安特衛普舉行的標普全球普氏能源資訊年度中間餾分油會議上對與會者說，亞洲對石油產品的需求在2025年前將超過當前和即將到來的煉油產能。 ????尤其是，亞洲的兩個最大石油產品消費國中國和印度在2025年前將從石油產品余額轉移到石油產品赤字。 ????班賽爾說，在中國，需求將繼續上升，而本國煉油能力將無法跟上需求增加的步伐，從而導致中國屆時成為石油產品凈進口國。2020年以后，國際投資者可能會看到中國煉油投資機會的復蘇。 ????班賽爾預計，由于中國從工業經濟轉向更多面向服務的經濟，2010年至2018年之間中國的石油產品需求將以每年5%的速度增長，在2025年前變為年增2%。 ????李峻 編譯自 普氏能源資訊 ????原文如下： ????Asian oil products demand to outweigh refinery capacity by 2025: McKinsey ????Asian demand for oil products will outweigh current and upcoming refinery capacity by 2025, Tushar Tarun Bansal, Director at McKinsey, told attendees at S&P Global Platts annual Middle Distillates Conference in Antwerp Thursday.
????In particular, China and India were singled out as two of the largest consumers that will move from a current oil product balances to an oil product deficit by 2025.
????In China, demand continues to rise, and refining capacity will be incapable of keeping pace resulting in China being reduced to a net importer, Bansal said. Beyond 2020, international players might see a revival in refining investment opportunities in China.
????Bansal expects demand in China to grow by 5% per year between 2010 and 2018, changing to 2% per year by 2025 as the country moves from an industrial economy to a more service-oriented economy.
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