中國石化新聞網訊 據道瓊斯6月6日消息,摩根大通全球大宗商品研究團隊的石油研究和戰略負責人Abhishek Deshpande表示,今年迄今為止的油價上漲得益于強于預期的需求增長,符合歐佩克主導的減產以及伊朗和委內瑞拉石油供應面臨的地緣政治風險加劇。但在倫敦舉行的標普全球普氏原油峰會的第一天,Deshpande表示,2018年下半年油價的支撐因素將減少,而到2019年頁巖油供應的增長應該會淹沒市場。他補充稱:“一旦明年美國管輸瓶頸得到緩解,頁巖油供應將大幅增加,而歐佩克預計將在6月會議后增加產量?!?曹海斌 摘譯自 道瓊斯 原文如下: Oil Prices to Face Headwinds Later in 2018, 2019: JPMorgan Oil prices so far this year have been bolstered by stronger-than-expected demand growth, compliance with OPEC-led production cuts and heightened geopolitical risks to supply in Iran and Venezuela, according to Abhishek Deshpande, head of oil research and strategy for JPMorgan’s global commodities research team. But the second half of 2018 should be “less supportive” for prices, while by 2019 shale supply growth should flood the market, Mr. Deshpande said during the first day of the S&P Global Platts crude oil summit in London. “Shale supply will come back once pipeline capacity is up and running again next year,” while OPEC is expected to ramp up production after its June meeting, he added. ?
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