石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據TABNinfo.com網站7月8日華盛頓報道，國際能源署（IEA）日前在其最新的市場預測報告中表示，在未來5年里，來自中國的強勁需求增長、更大的工業需求以及來自美國不斷增加的供應將改變全球天然氣市場。 根據IEA最新年度天然氣市場報告《2018年天然氣市場》所說，全球天然氣需求將以年均1.6%的速度增長，到2023年將達到略高于4.1萬億立方米的水平，遠遠超過2017年的3.74萬億立方米。 國際能源署署長法提赫·比羅爾說：“在未來5年里，全球天然氣市場將被三大結構性轉變重塑。中國將在未來兩至三年內成為全球最大的天然氣進口國。美國的天然氣生產和出口將大幅增長。天然氣工業將取代發電成為增長最快的行業。盡管天然氣擁有光明的未來，但這個行業仍面臨許多嚴峻挑戰，其中包括相對于新興市場的其他燃料天然氣價格仍需維持在可承受的水平以及天然氣工業在整個價值鏈中需要遏制甲烷泄漏。 由于受到旨在通過從煤炭轉向天然氣來減少當地空氣污染政策的支撐，中國天然氣需求預計在2017年至2023年期間將增長60%。僅中國一國就將占到未來5年全球天然氣需求增長的37%，中國在2019年前將超過日本成為全球最大的天然氣進口國。IEA還預計，在強勁的經濟增長和改善空氣質量努力的推動下，亞洲其他地區（包括南亞和東南亞）的天然氣使用量將出現強勁增長。 李峻 編譯自 TABNinfo.com 原文如下： Global gas sector set for big growth over 5 years: IEA Strong demand growth from China, greater industrial demand, and rising supplies from the US, will transform global natural gas markets over the next five years, said the International Energy Agency in its latest market forecast.
Global gas demand will grow at an average rate of 1.6 per cent a year, reaching just over 4,100 billion cubic meters (bcm) in 2023, up from 3,740 bcm in 2017, according to the IEA’s latest annual gas market report titled “Gas 2018”.
“In the next five years, global gas markets are being re-shaped by three major structural shifts,” said Dr Fatih Birol, the IEA’s executive director.
“China is set to become the world’s largest gas importer within two-to-three years, US production and exports will rise dramatically strongly and industry is replacing power generation as the leading growth sector. While gas has a bright future, the industry faces tough challenges. These include the need for gas prices to remain affordable relative to other fuels in emerging markets and for industry to curb methane leaks along the value chain.”
Chinese gas demand is forecast to grow by 60 per cent between 2017-2023, underpinned by policies aimed at reducing local air pollution by switching from coal to gas. China alone accounts for 37 per cent of the growth in global demand in the next five years and becomes the largest natural gas importer by 2019, overtaking Japan. The IEA also forecasts strong growth in gas use in other parts of Asia, including in South and Southeast Asia, driven by strong economic growth and efforts to improve air quality. ?
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