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全球LNG價格在供需作用下進一步緩和

中國石化新聞網訊 據路透社9月28日倫敦報道,由于儲備充足的亞洲公用事業需求疲軟和健康的供應水平,亞洲現貨LNG價格本周從多年的季節性高點進一步回落。 行業消息人士稱,十一月亞洲的交貨價格已降至11.1美元/mmBtu的低點,比上一周下降了40美分,預計10月份下半月的貨物價格可能為10.7美元/mmBtu至11美元/mmBtu。 交易員表示,夏季和冬季之間的需求有所下降,亞洲公用事業尚未準備好為冬季采購,越來越多的貨物正運往歐洲,這是亞洲需求低的另一個指標,而且全球供應狀況良好。 但是在本月初,原油價格的上漲以及日本、韓國和中國在冬季供暖高峰期之前的現貨需求將LNG價格推高至季節性高位。 預測顯示,亞洲的公用事業似乎在10月和11月都有充足的儲備,從10月到12月,日本的氣溫預計將高于平均水平,然而,韓國和中國部分地區的氣溫將低于季節性標準,這將有助于在未來幾周內提振需求。 英國、比利時和荷蘭預計在未來兩周左右至少有7艘LNG油輪,比前幾周多,這表明亞洲買家庫存充足,湯森路透分析師表示,如果亞洲現貨價格進一步上漲,將不得不提高對西歐的溢價,以吸引大西洋流域的石油產量。 在其他地方,印度表示,它將在10月底之前在西古吉拉特邦開始運營一個新的LNG進口設施,但要達到滿負荷還需要大約一年的時間。 詹曉晶摘自路透社 原文如下: GLOBAL LNG-Prices ease further on tepid demand, healthy supply Asian spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices have further receded this week from multi-year seasonal highs due to lacklustre demand from well-stocked Asian utilities and healthy supply. Spot prices for November LNG-AS delivery in Asia have fallen to as low as $11.10 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), down 40 cents from the week before, industry sources said. Cargoes for the second half of October are likely valued at $10.70 to $11.00 per mmBtu. Traders said demand had declined in the period between summer and winter and that Asian utilities were not yet ready to buy for the winter. More cargoes are heading to Europe, another indicator of low demand from Asia, and supply is healthy. Rising crude oil prices and spot demand from Japan, South Korea and China ahead of the peak winter heating season had pushed LNG prices to seasonal highs at the start of this month. However, Asian utilities seem well-stocked going into October and November. Japan is expected to experience warmer-than-average temperatures from October to December, forecasts show. However, parts of South Korea and China are expected to have temperatures below the seasonal norm, which could help lift demand in coming weeks. Britain, Belgium and the Netherlands expect at least seven LNG tankers over the next two weeks or so, more than in previous weeks and a sign that Asian buyers are well-stocked. Further gains could result in the Asian spot price having to rise to keep a premium to northwest Europe to attract volumes from the Atlantic basin, Thomson Reuters analysts said. Elsewhere, India said it would start operating a new LNG import facility in western Gujarat state by the end of October but it would take around a year to reach full capacity.
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