石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據普氏能源資訊紐約消息，根據標普全球普氏周二調查的分析師表示，美國精煉產品庫存可能在上周繼續增加，因為煉油廠的運營量遠高于歷史平均水平。 調查顯示，截至1月18日的一周內，美國汽油庫存可能增加290萬桶，至2.585億桶左右。分析人士預計，上周的蒸餾油庫存可能增加90萬桶，至約1.439億桶。 美國能源情報署（EIA）的數據顯示，預計的汽油產量將標志著庫存連續第八次增加，并將使庫存比五年平均水平高出近5.8%。 預期的連續第五次蒸餾油產量增加將使庫存低于五年平均水平1%。穩步增長已將赤字從去年12月中旬近11%的峰值水平拉低至5年來的平均水平。 但精煉產品庫存增長的步伐已經明顯放緩。 上周汽油庫存的增長預計將是12月中旬以來最小的，不到前一周EIA報告的750多萬桶上漲幅度的一半。在截至1月11日的這一周里，預計的蒸餾油產量也是四周內最小的，不到300萬桶產量的三分之一。 分析師表示，煉油企業可能將運行率調回0.2個百分點，至總產能的94.4%左右。盡管預期的下滑將使利用率比12月下旬的峰值低2.8個百分點，這可能在一定程度上造成了產品生產的放緩，但從歷史上看，該運行率仍然非常強勁，上周的下降將使全國的利用率比上年同期高出3.5個百分點，比五年平均水平高出7.5%以上。 詹曉晶 摘自 普氏能源資訊 原文如下： US refined products build likely to continue as refinery runs remain strong: analysts The buildup in US refined product stocks likely continued last week as refinery runs held substantially above historic averages, according to analysts surveyed by S&P Global Platts Tuesday. Nationwide gasoline stocks likely rose 2.9 million barrels to around 258.5 million barrels in the week that ended January 18, a consensus of the analysts surveyed showed. Distillate stocks were expected by analysts to increase 900,000 barrels to around 143.9 million barrels last week. The expected gasoline build would mark the eighth consecutive inventory increase and would push stocks to nearly 5.8% above the five-year average, according to US Energy Information Administration data. An expected fifth straight distillate build would put stocks less than 1% below the five-year average. A steady increase has pared the deficit to the five-year average from a peak of nearly 11% in mid-December. But the pace of refined product inventory builds has notably slowed. Last week’s gasoline stocks increase was expected to be the smallest since mid-December and less than half the more than 7.5-million barrel jump EIA reported for the week prior. The expected distillate build was also the smallest in four weeks and less than a third of a nearly 3 million barrel build in the week that ended January 11. Refiners likely dialed back run rates by 0.2 percentage points to around 94.4% of total capacity, analysts said. While the expected decline would put utilization rates 2.8 percentage points lower than a late December peak, likely contributing in part to the slower product build, run rates remain historically very strong. Last week’s dip would put nationwide utilization 3.5 percentage points above the year-ago level and more than 7.5% above the five-year average.? ?
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