隨著原油供需逐漸平衡,阿拉伯聯合酋長國的經濟部長預測今年油價將突破60美元。
阿聯酋經濟部長Bin Saeed Al Mansoori周一在阿布扎比的一次會議上表示:“隨著美國對原油的需求量增加,油價有望在今夏達到60美元或更高”。 Standard Chartered銀行全球首席經濟學家Mario Maratheftis在接受彭博電視臺采訪時稱:“年底油價將超過60美元”。 上周SEB銀行預測2016年布倫特油價將達到60美元。
隨著美國削減過剩原油量,原油庫存隨之下降,導致今年原油期貨上漲31%,上周油價也超過50美元/桶。印度和其他新興國家強勁的需求導致國際能源署在5月減少全球石油上半年貿易順差的預估值,7月布倫特原油的最新一筆交易超過了60美元。Maratheftis稱:“我們一直非??春檬偷那熬?,擔心原油供應崩潰, 現在的需求仍然非常強勁,預計油價將繼續上升?!?/span>
上周四以50.51美元交易后,迪拜凌晨2點公布的7月布倫特原油結算下跌0.3%,報49.15美元/桶。
來自/Worldoil 6月2日消息 編譯/吳海君
The United Arab Emirates’s economy minister joined forecasters looking for $60 crude this year with demand and production moving more in line.
“It’s possible for oil prices to reach $60 or more during this summer” as demand increases in the U.S., U.A.E. Economy Minister Sultan Bin Saeed Al Mansoori said at a conference in Abu Dhabi on Monday. Crude will end the year higher than $60/bbl, Mario Maratheftis, global chief economist at Standard Chartered Plc, said on Bloomberg TV. SEB Bank forecast last week that Brent would touch $60 at times in 2016.
Oil futures jumped 31% this year, climbing above $50/bbl last week, as U.S. crude stockpiles declined, trimming a glut. Robust demand in India and other emerging nations led the International Energy Agency in May to reduce its estimate of the global oil surplus for the first half. Brent last traded above $60 in July.
“We’ve always been incredibly bullish on oil,” Maratheftis said. “We expected supply to collapse. Demand is still very strong. I would expect oil prices to keep rising.”
Brent for July settlement fell 0.3% to $49.15/bbl by 2:25 p.m. in Dubai, after trading at $50.51 last Thursday.
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