中國石化新聞網訊 據道瓊斯5月24日消息,德商業銀行分析師發出警告稱,盡管歐佩克幾乎已經確定將延長減產協議,但是今年底前油價可能重新跌至50美元/桶以下。今年下半年強勁的需求和減產的持續將幫助消除過剩的石油庫存。但是分析師們預測,這種情況不會持續。因為美國石油生產商正在逐步增加產量,并從歐佩克手中搶占市場份額,欺騙的誘惑是抵抗不了的。德國商業銀行在報告中寫道:“因此過剩的原油庫存的消化過程或將更加緩慢。結果的令人失望將令市場產生質疑,從而再次施壓油價,因此我們預計油價在年底前將跌破50美元/桶?!?龐曉華 摘譯自 道瓊斯 原文如下: Oil May Fall Despite OPEC Output Curb Extension While OPEC will almost certainly extend its production cuts, prices could drop back below $50 before the year’s end, analysts at Commerzbank caution. Stronger demand in the second half of the year and continued cutbacks will help eliminate the inventory overhang. But that won’t last, the analysts predict. As US producers ramp up and take market share from the cartel, the temptation to cheat will prove irresistible: “the reduction of the oversupply is therefore likely to happen more slowly. The resulting disappointment will doubtless put pressure on oil prices again, so we expect the price to fall to below $50 per barrel by year’s end,” Commerzbank writes. ?
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