石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據道瓊斯7月5日消息，德意志銀行表示，在美國石油生產商停止增加石油鉆機數量前，油價可能跌至40美元/桶的低點。該行表示：“在需求保持健康以及歐佩克不太可能進一步削減產量的情況下，我們感覺到大宗商品市場的焦點已經轉向油價跌至什么水平才能中止美國石油鉆機數量繼續增加。因為當前美國石油活動開始放緩，也許40美元-45美元/桶的WTI原油價格將被證實是一個轉折點?！钡乱庵俱y行已經將明年布倫特原油的價格從63美元下調至54美元/桶，2019年的價格從65美元下調至56美元，而長期的價格預測從65美元下調至60美元/桶。 唐紹紅 摘譯自 道瓊斯 原文如下： Oil Prices May Fall to $40 to Break US Rig Expansion The price of crude oil may fall as low as $40 a barrel before US oil producers stop increasing the number of rigs they use, says Deutsche Bank. “With demand healthy and further OPEC quota cuts unlikely, we sense the focus of commodity markets has moved to what price is required to break continuing expansion in US rig,” Deutsche says. “As activity starts to slow, perhaps $40-$45 for West Texas Intermediate will prove a sensible break-point.” Deutsche cuts its forecast for a barrel of Brent crude in 2018 to $54 from $63, in 2019 to $56 from $65 and in the long-term to $60 from $65. ?
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