石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據道瓊斯7月5日消息，美銀美林下調了2017年和2018年的油價預期，因庫存仍在增加，市場對歐佩克的影響力和可信度失去信心。分析師表示，歐佩克產油國在達成減產協議前增產的行動已經損害了支撐油價的努力。美銀美林在研究報告中寫道：“在一些產油國減產的同時，另一些產油國以同樣速度增產，那么庫存不下降就不會令人感到意外了?！泵楞y美林目前預期西得州中質油（WTI））在2017年平均為47美元/桶，此前預期為52美元/桶。該銀行同時預期2018年WTI平均價格為50美元/桶，低于此前的53美元/桶。分析師預期今年布倫特原油期貨平均為50美元/桶，明年為52美元/桶，分別低于之前預期的54美元/桶和56美元/桶。 張春曉 摘譯自 道瓊斯 原文如下： BofA Merrill Lynch Cuts Oil Price Forecasts Bank of America Merrill Lynch lowers its forecast for oil prices in 2017 and 2018, as inventories have remained elevated and the market has lost faith in OPEC’s influence and credibility. The move by OPEC producers to increase output ahead of the agreement to cut has hurt efforts to support oil prices, analysts say. “With some producers pedalling backwards and some pedalling forwards at the same speed, it is perhaps not a surprise that inventories are not moving,” the investment bank writes. It now expects WTI crude oil to average $47 a barrel in 2017, compared to $52/bbl previously, and $50/bbl in 2018, down from $53/bbl. Analysts expect Brent prices to average $50/bbl this year and $52/bbl next year, down from $54 and $56 respectively. ?
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