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加納石油產量激增仍無助于緩解本國財政壓力

中國石化新聞網訊 據路透社7月13日倫敦報道,由于原油價格低于其預算所需價格侵蝕了來自額外增加產量的收益,今年加納石油產量的激增可能無助于緩解這個西非國家的財政壓力。 今年的布倫特原油均價為每桶52美元,低于預算56美元的預期,這可能惡化加納政府旨在縮小財政赤字的計劃。在埃尼公司5月份投產??品ㄓ吞镆约坝捎谟鴪D洛石油公司在加納的第二個項目的產量增加,加納今年的石油產量將比去年增加三分之一以上。 由于加納尋求提高投資者被今年1月份宣布的高達70億歐元(16億美元)預算缺口削弱的信心,世界第二大可可生產國計劃今年把其財政赤字在國內生產總值中所占比例削減到6.5%。 Databank集團在阿克拉的經濟學家Martey在電話中表示:“低于預期的原油價格意味著盡管來自額外油田的石油產量增加,但加納政府的石油收入前景仍然存在下行風險。我們預計加納政府將把赤字目標朝上移?!?李峻 編譯自 路透社 原文如下: Ghana Oil Boon Not Enough to Plug Budget Hole as Prices Drop A surge in Ghana’s oil output this year may do little to ease the West African nation’s fiscal strains as crude prices are lower than what it budgeted, eroding the gains from extra production. This year’s average Brent crude price of $52 a barrel is below the $56 forecast in the budget, which could complicate the state’s plans to narrow the fiscal deficit. Output is set to climb by more than a third in 2017 from a year earlier after Eni SpA started up the Sankofa field in May, and as production rises at Tullow Plc’s second project in the country. The world’s second-biggest cocoa producer plans to cut its fiscal deficit to 6.5 percent of gross domestic product this year as it seeks to raise investor confidence eroded by the announcement in January of a 7 billion-cedi ($1.6 billion) hole in the budget. Lower-than-forecast crude prices mean “there could still be downside risks to government’s oil-revenue outlook, despite increased oil output from the additional field,” Courage Martey, an Accra-based economist at Databank Group, said by phone. “We expect the government to revise the deficit target northwards.” ?

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