石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據普氏能源資訊8月11日倫敦報道，國際能源署（IEA）周五在其最新月度報告中說，隨著大部分季節性增加來自前蘇聯和中東的石油出口商，全球第三季度煉油加工量預計將比第二季度日增80萬桶，全球第三季度煉油日加工量將達到8110萬桶。 IEA還表示，預計8月份全球煉油加工量將達到其年度高峰的8140萬桶，并預計第三季度的煉油日加工量也將同比增長90萬桶。 IEA表示，在8月份達到峰值以后，全球煉油活動在9月份和10月份將出現季節性下降。由于中國和印度新產能的啟動，全球煉油活動在11月份將出現反彈。 IEA表示，7月份煉油聯合體的利潤得到了“來自歐洲更強勁的季節性需求和煉油問題”的支持。IEA指出，導致歐洲更強勁需求的主要原因是兩家德國煉油廠的供應中斷，其中一家位于希臘，另一家位于荷蘭的佩爾尼斯，它是歐洲最大的煉油廠。 李峻 編譯自 普氏能源資訊 原文如下： Q3 refinery throughput to ramp up, driven by FSU, Middle East: IEA Global refining throughput in Q3 is expected to ramp up by 800,000 b/d from Q2 to 81.1 million b/d, “with most of the seasonal increase coming from oil exporters in the FSU [former Soviet Union] and the Middle East,” the International Energy Agency said in its latest monthly report Friday.
Refining throughput is expected to reach its annual peak in August, with runs at 81.4 million b/d, it also said, adding that Q3 throughput is also forecast to grow 900,000 b/d year on year.
Following the August peak, “global refining activity will seasonally decline in September and October, before bouncing back in November,” when growth will come from the start-up of new capacity in China and Vietnam, the IEA said.
Complex refinery margins in July drew support from “stronger seasonal demand and refinery problems in Europe,” the IEA said, noting outages at two German refineries, one in Greece and at the Netherlands’ Pernis, Europe’s biggest refinery.
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