中國石化新聞網訊 據路透社紐約9月14日消息,美國政府周四表示,受交通運輸和工業領域的驅動,2040年前全球石油和其它液體燃料的使用量將增長近五分之一。
美國能源信息署(EIA)在2017年國際能源展望報告中稱,全球石油和其它液體燃料消費量將從2015年時的9500萬桶/天增加至2030年時的1.04億桶/天,到2040年將進一步增加至1.13億桶/天。
這意味著2015-2040年期間,全球石油和其它液體燃料消費量將增長19%。
IEA表示,經合組織(OECD)以外的國家將占據新增石油和其它液體燃料消費量的大部分,其年均需求增速將達到1.3%,而OECD國家的消費量將略有下降。
EIA表示,歐佩克成員國仍將維持或增加在全球原油和凝析油產量市場的份額。
同時,可再生能源仍將是全球增速最快的能源資源,2015-2040年期間的年均消費增速將達到2.3%。
然而,化石燃料仍將是全球主要的能源資源,2040年將占據全球能源總消費量的77%。
天然氣是增速最快的化石燃料,預計年均消費增速將達到1.4%。
唐紹紅 摘譯自 路透社
原文如下: EIA: Global use of liquid fuels to grow by nearly a fifth by 2040 Global use of petroleum and other liquid fuels will grow by nearly a fifth by 2040, driven by the transportation and industrial sectors, the US government said on Thursday. Consumption is set to grow from 95 MMbpd in 2015 to 104 MMbpd in 2030 and 113 MMbpd in 2040, according to the US Energy Information Administration’s international energy outlook for 2017. That reference case would mean a 19% increase between 2015 to 2040. Countries outside of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development account for most of the increase, with demand rising by 1.3%/yr, compared with a slight decrease for those in the group. OPEC countries will maintain or increase their combined market share of crude and lease condensate production, the EIA added. Meanwhile, renewables will remain the world’s fastest-growing energy source, with consumption increasing by an average 2.3%/yr between 2015 and 2040. However, fossil fuels will remain the dominant energy source, accounting for 77% of energy use in 2040. Natural gas is the fastest-growing fossil fuel in projections with global consumption forecast to rise 1.4% annually.
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