石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據路透社9月26日新加坡報道，全球著名大宗商品交易商托克（Trafigura）的一名高管周二表示，由于勘探支出因石油價格下跌而大幅減少，全球石油日需求量在2019年年底前可能超過全球原油日供應量200萬桶至400萬桶。 托克的集團市場風險的聯合主管本·勒科克周二在新加坡舉行的一次行業會議上說：“供應和需求的不匹配是用于發現新油氣儲量支出的減少以及現有油井，尤其是來自頁巖地層的新油井的儲量自然會被用完的結果?！?基準布倫特原油價格從2014年6月最高的每桶115.71美元暴跌到了2016年1月份最低點的每桶27.10美元。自那以后，油價反彈到了59美元以上。收入因油價暴跌急劇下降導致了石油公司削減他們的勘探預算。 勒科克指出，作為供應最終將會低于需求的一個原因，2016年的勘探支出從兩年前的7000億美元下降到了大約3000億美元。 李峻 編譯自 路透社 原文如下： Oil demand may exceed supply by up to 4 MMbpd by 2019 Global oil demand may be between 2 MMbpd to 4 MMbpd more than worldwide crude supply by the end of 2019 as exploration spending has declined as prices fell, an executive with commodities trading house Trafigura said on Tuesday. The mismatch in supply and demand is the result of a decline in spending to find new oil and gas reserves and existing wells, especially new wells from shale formations, are naturally used up, said Ben Luckock, Trafigura’s co-head of group market risk, at an industry conference in Singapore. Benchmark Brent crude oil prices collapsed to as low as $27.10/bbl in January 2016 from as much as $115.71 in June 2014. Prices have rebounded since then to over $59. The steep decline in revenue as prices dropped caused companies to cut their exploration budgets. Luckock pointed to a drop in exploration spending in 2016 to about $300 B from $700 B 2 yr earlier as a reason supply will eventually fall below demand. ?
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