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油價面臨美國產量增加和需求放緩等下行風險

中國石化新聞網訊 據道瓊斯1月2日消息,盛寶銀行大宗商品策略主管Ole Hansen表示,受伊朗抗議等地緣政治擔憂的支撐,石油價格已經達到2014以來的最高水平,但對沖基金持有的多頭頭寸,美國不斷上升的產量以及美國和中國需求的擔憂仍然將給油價帶來下行的風險。他表示,因此布倫特原油更可能在50至60美元/桶之間,而不是60至70美元/桶之間。他指出:“我們對2018的中國經濟也有一些擔憂,最終可能導致需求增長低于預期。美國駕車者面臨燃油價格上漲也可能引發需求放緩?!?唐紹紅 摘譯自 道瓊斯 原文如下: Oil Faces Downside Risks From Rising US Output, Demand Concerns Oil prices have reached their highest level since 2014 over geopolitical concerns such as protests in Iran. But long positions held by hedge funds, rising U.S. production and concerns over demand in the U.S. and China still carry a downside risk for prices, says Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank. Brent crude is therefore more likely to trade between $50 and $60 than between $60 and $70, he says. “We also have some concerns about the Chinese economy in 2018 that ultimately could lead to lower than expected demand growth,” he says. “US motorists being faced with rising fuel costs could also trigger a slowdown in demand.”

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