石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據《世界石油》1月11日休斯敦報道，美國能源信息署（EIA）估計去年全球隱含庫存變化（全球總消費量和世界總產量之間的差異）平均每天為40萬桶，從而使得全球庫存自2013年以來第一年減少。EIA預計全球庫存在2018年和2019年將每天分別增加大約20萬桶和30萬桶。 2017年來自歐佩克原油產量平均每天為3250萬桶，比2016年日減20萬桶，原油產量減少的主要原因是歐佩克在2016年11月達成了一項把歐佩克原油日產量限制在3250萬桶的產量協議。歐佩克和非歐佩克產油國在2017年11月30日同意把減產協議延長到今年年底來努力減少全球石油庫存。由于歐佩克原油產量慢慢恢復到協議前水平，EIA預計歐佩克的原油產量在2018年和2019年將分別日增20萬桶和30萬桶。 EIA說，來自美國的原油產量增加預計將比任何其他國家都要多。美國的原油日產量預計在2018年將達到1030萬桶，這將是美國歷史上最高的年度平均原油產量，超過1970年創下的960萬桶/天的前一個最高紀錄。美國原油產量在2019年預計將繼續增加，平均日產量預計將增加到1080萬桶。 李峻 編譯自 世界石油 原文如下： EIA forecasts increasing global production through 2019 EIA estimates that the implied global stock change (the difference between total world consumption and total world production) averaged 0.4 MMbpd in 2017, marking the first year of global inventory draws since 2013. EIA expects global inventories to increase by about 0.2 MMbpd in 2018 and by about 0.3 MMbpd in 2019.
Crude oil production from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) averaged 32.5 MMbpd in 2017, a decrease of 0.2 MMbpd from 2016. The decline was mainly a result of the November 2016 OPEC production agreement that aimed to limit OPEC crude oil output to 32.5 MMbpd. OPEC and non-OPEC participants agreed on November 30, 2017, to extend the production cuts through the end of 2018 in an effort to reduce global oil inventories. EIA expects OPEC crude oil production to increase by 0.2 MMbpd in 2018 and by an additional 0.3 MMbpd in 2019 as it slowly returns to pre-agreement levels. Crude oil production from the United States is expected to increase more than in any other country. U.S. crude oil production is forecast to average 10.3 MMbpd in 2018, marking the highest annual average production in U.S. history, surpassing the previous record of 9.6 MMbpd set in 1970. U.S. crude oil production is expected to continue increasing in 2019 to an average of 10.8 MMbpd.
未經允許，不得轉載本站任何文章：
