石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據《世界石油》2月26日休斯敦報道，根據殼牌公司日前發表的年度液化天然氣（LNG）展望報告，全球LNG市場去年繼續超出許多市場觀察人士的預測，需求量增加了2900萬噸至2.93億噸。這種強勁的需求增長符合殼牌公司在2017年發布的第一份LNG展望報告。根據目前的需求預測，殼牌公司認為，除非盡快作出新LNG生產項目承諾，否則，全球在本世紀20年代中期可能面臨LNG供應短缺。 日本在2017年仍是全球最大的LNG進口國，而中國的LNG進口量在2017年超過了韓國，成為世界第二大LNG進口國。中國去年LNG總需求量得到了3800萬噸，這是經濟繼續增長以及實施通過煤制氣轉換減少當地空氣污染政策的一個結果。 殼牌公司綜合天然氣和新能源主管威瑟拉說：“我們仍將看到來自亞洲和歐洲傳統進口國的巨大需求，但我們也將看到LNG向世界其他國家提供靈活、可靠和更清潔的能源供應。單單在亞洲，需求增加了1700萬噸，這幾乎等于世界第5大LNG出口國印度尼西亞2017年全年的LNG產量?！?在過去幾十年里，LNG在全球能源體系中扮演著越來越重要的角色。自2000年以來，進口LNG國家的數目翻了兩番，而供應LNG國家的數目幾乎增加了一倍。LNG貿易量從2000年的1億噸增加到了2017年的近3億噸。 李峻 編譯自 世界石油 原文如下： Shell sees potential LNG supply shortage as global demand surges The global liquefied natural gas (LNG) market has continued to defy expectations of many market observers, with demand growing by 29 million tonnes to 293 million tonnes in 2017, according to Shell’s annual LNG Outlook. Such strong growth in demand is consistent with Shell’s first LNG Outlook, published in 2017. Based on current demand projections, Shell sees potential for a supply shortage developing in mid-2020s, unless new LNG production project commitments are made soon. Japan remained the world’s largest LNG importer in 2017, while China moved into second place as Chinese imports surged past South Korea’s. Total demand for LNG in China reached 38 million tonnes, a result of continued economic growth and policies to reduce local air pollution through coal-to-gas switching. “We are still seeing significant demand from traditional importers in Asia and Europe, but we are also seeing LNG provide flexible, reliable and cleaner energy supply for other countries around the world,” said Maarten Wetselaar, integrated gas and new energies director at Shell. “In Asia alone, demand rose by 17 million tonnes. That’s nearly as much as Indonesia, the world’s fifth-largest LNG exporter, produced in 2017.” LNG has played an increasing role in the global energy system over the last few decades. Since 2000, the number of countries importing LNG has quadrupled and the number of countries supplying it has almost doubled. LNG trade increased from 100 million tonnes in 2000 to nearly 300 million tonnes in 2017.
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