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韓國上調未來LNG需求預測

中國石化新聞網訊 據普氏能源資訊4月9日新加坡報道,韓國能源部日前表示,為了努力減少對煤炭和核能發電的依賴,韓國日前上調了本國今后幾年液化天然氣(LNG)需求的預測。 韓國貿易、工業和能源部在其長期LNG供應計劃中說,韓國LNG需求現在預計到2031年將增加到4049萬噸,比今年估計的3646萬噸提高了11.1%。 韓國用于發電的LNG需求預計到2031年將每年增加0.26%至年均1709萬噸,比今年估計的1652萬噸增加了57萬噸。 長期LNG供應計劃說,預計到2031年,家庭和企業對零售天然氣的需求預計將年增1.24%至2340萬噸,高與2018年預計的1994萬噸。 這個預測意味著韓國今后13年里總LNG消費量每年將增長0.81%,遠遠高于過去13年的年平均5.1%的增長率。 李峻 編譯自 普氏能源資訊 原文如下: S. Korea revises up LNG demand forecasts on plan to reduce coal, nuclear South Korea has revised up its LNG demand projections for the next several years on the back of its efforts to reduce reliance on coal and nuclear for power generation, the energy ministry said recently. LNG demand is now forecast to grow to 40.49 million mt in 2031, up 11.1% from this year?s estimated 36.46 million mt, the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy said in its Long-term LNG Supply Plan. LNG demand for power generation is projected to increase 0.26% each year on average to 17.09 million mt in 2031, up from 16.52 million mt estimated for 2018. Demand for retail gas for households and businesses is forecast to rise 1.24% annually to 23.4 million mt in 2031, up from 19.94 million mt estimated for 2018, it said. The forecast puts total LNG consumption growth at 0.81% annually over the next 13 years, well below an annual average rate of 5.1% the past 13 years.

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