石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據道瓊斯5月23日消息，凱投宏觀公司大宗商品經濟學家托馬斯?普表示，隨著布倫特原油價格徘徊在每桶約80美元左右的三年半多來的高點，明年全球對石油的需求可能會放緩。普在一份報告中寫道：“如果油價保持在當前水平或進一步上漲，2019年石油消費增長可能大幅放緩?！彼烙?，油價上漲20%（自今年年初以來的增長幅度）可能會使工業化經濟體的石油需求減少多達100萬桶/日。相反，他指出，如果消費增長放緩，這是另一個認為價格不會在很長時間里保持如此高水平的原因。 龐曉華 摘譯自 道瓊斯 原文如下： Brent at $80 Could Weigh on Global Demand As Brent crude hovers near more than 3 1/2 year highs, at around $80 a barrel, there is a risk that the world’s appetite for oil could slow next year, according to Thomas Pugh, commodities economist at Capital Economics. “If oil prices remain around their current levels or rise further, consumption growth could slow sharply in 2019,” Pugh wrote in a note. He estimates that a 20% increase in oil prices–the rate of growth since the start of this year–could lower demand in industrialized economies by as much as 1M barrels a day. Conversely, he noted, if consumption growth slows, “this is another reason to think that prices will not stay this high for very long.” ?
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