????中國石化新聞網訊 據彭博社達卡9月11日消息稱,石油業務大多從原油價格暴跌中恢復,但并不是所有人都在慶祝。
????根據貿易集團石油與天然氣公司(Oil&Gas UK)的一份報告,英國北海今年有望獲得自1973年以來勘探、評估和開發的最低水平。由于公司削減開支以應對油價下跌,鉆井在去年和2016年間跌至四年來的低點。
????隨著更高效的油井和新項目提高了產量,40多年歷史的北海在過去幾年中獲得了新生。但貿易集團表示,新鉆探的放緩是一個“嚴重問題”,最終可能使該地區面臨失去“ 2035年愿景 ”目標的危險,其中包括將老化盆地的生產壽命延長到下一代人。
????英國石油與天然氣公司上游政策主管Mike Tholen在接受電話采訪時表示,“我們知道北海有100億桶,可能有200億桶油當量”?!叭绻覀儾汇@,我們就不會得到它?!?br />
????預計2018年,英國北海的勘探井數量不會超過12口,相比去年有所減少,開發井多達80口,與2017年持平??偼顿Y估計約為60億英鎊(78億美元) ,不到五年前水平的一半。
????由于石油危機仍然記憶猶新,公司老板們正在嚴格控制開支。大型北海運營商荷蘭皇家殼牌有限公司和英國石油公司正試圖將盈虧平衡成本保持在每桶40美元左右,這是2014年之前批準的項目水平的一半。這限制了他們在一個相對昂貴的地區擴大鉆探的能力。
????但就目前而言,還有一些好消息。從北海獲得一桶石油比2014年價格崩潰前便宜約30%。雖然新井數量減少,但它們的運營效率更高。自2015年以來產量穩步上升,預計今年產量將達到每天175萬桶油當量,比2017年增加7%。
????陳菲 摘譯自 彭博社
????原文如下:
????U.K. North Sea Drilling at 40-Year Low, Risking Growth Goals
????The oil business has mostly recovered from a worst-in-a-generation crude price slump, but
????not everyone is celebrating.
????The U.K. North Sea is on track this year to have the fewest exploration, appraisal and
????development wells since 1973, according to a report from Oil & Gas UK, a trade group.
????Drilling dropped to four-decade lows both last year and in 2016 as companies cut spending to
????cope with falling oil prices.
????The more than 40-year-old North Sea has got a new lease of life in the last few years as
????more efficient wells and new projects boosted production. But the slowdown in new drilling
????is a “serious concern,” and could end up putting the region in danger of missing its
????“Vision 2035” goals, which include extending the productive life of the aging basin for
????another generation, said the trade group.
????“We know we have 10 billion, maybe 20 billion barrels” of oil equivalent left in the North
????Sea, Mike Tholen, upstream policy director at Oil & Gas UK, said in a phone interview. “If
????we don’t drill, we don’t get any of it.”
????In 2018, the U.K. North Sea is expected to have no more than 12 exploration wells, fewer
????than last year, and as many as 80 development wells, in line with 2017. Total investment is
????estimated to be about 6 billion pounds ($7.8 billion), less than half of the level five
????years ago.
????With oil’s crash still fresh in their memories, company bosses are keeping a tight rein on
????spending. Large North Sea operators Royal Dutch Shell Plc and BP Plc are trying to keep
????breakeven costs at about $40 a barrel, half the level for projects sanctioned prior to 2014.
????That’s limiting their ability to expand drilling in a region that’s comparatively more
????expensive. ????But for now, there’s also some good news. It’s about 30 percent cheaper to get a barrel of
????oil out of the North Sea than it was before the 2014 price crash. And though there are fewer
????new wells, they are operating more efficiently. Production has been rising steadily since
????2015 and output this year is expected to reach up to 1.75 million barrels of oil equivalent
????a day, 7 percent higher than 2017.
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