石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據普氏能源資訊胡志明市10月9日消息稱，業內消息人士在2018越南胡志明國際塑料橡膠工業展會場外表示，越南的聚乙烯價格預計將在2019年初走弱，原因是樹脂進口增長超過個位數的需求增長。 業內消息人士稱，越南8—9月進口的美國PE量飆升至10000-20000噸/月。 消息人士稱，這一數字高于7月份的6300噸，以及2018年上半年的3500噸/月。 有消息稱，Tricon，Vinmar和歐佩克塑料等交易商已經聽說購買美國原產聚乙烯并將其重新包裝進口到越南，但“貿易戰的沖擊”的程度只有在越南官方公布第四季度官方數據之后才會出現。 海關數據顯示，沙特阿拉伯是越南2018年度 PE進口的主要來源，為62000公噸/月，比2017年增加10000公噸/月。 根據一項針對該國主要貿易商的調查，越南2019年總體PE需求增長估計為7％-10％。 雖然一些市場參與者表示明年總體PE增長可能高達15％，但許多消息人士并未預期通用高密度聚乙烯和線性低密度聚乙烯的需求增長與過去幾年一樣強勁。 三菱越南貿易商稱：“在越南，PE被廣泛用于購物袋。對于歐盟和美國等出口市場，人們一直在努力提高環保意識，因此客戶要求更質量的薄膜和可回收或可生物降解的袋子?！?該交易商補充稱，高密度雙峰級和C6或C8茂金屬LLDPE可能會出現強勁增長，因為它們可用于制造質量更好的包裝，而LLDPE和LDPE的增長預計在短期內沒有變化。 “用于包裝和建造聚乙烯的多層薄膜，如管道等級的需求正在迅速增長并作為一個分支出現?！睔W佩克塑料經理表示，并補充說明年這些市場的增長可能高達20％。 曹海斌 摘譯自 普氏能源資訊 原文如下： VietnamPlas: Vietnam’s polyethyelene prices seen set to weaken in early 2019 as imports outpate demand Vietnam’s polyethylene prices are expected to weaken in early 2019 as surging resin imports outpace single-digit demand growth, industry sources said on the sidelines of VietnamPlas 2018 in Ho Chi Minh City. Vietnam’s imports of US-origin PE were estimated to have surged to 10,000-20,000 mt/month in August and September, industry sources said. This is up from imports of 6,300 mt in July, and from 3,500 mt/month over the first half of 2018, the sources said. Traders such as Tricon, Vinmar and OPEC Plastics have been heard buying US-origin PE and repacking it for import to Vietnam, but the extent of the “trade war bump” will only be seen only after Vietnam compiles official customs data for the fourth quarter, the sources said. Saudi Arabia was Vietnam’s main source of PE imports at 62,000 mt/month over H1 2018, up 10,000 mt/month from 2017, customs data showed. Vietnam’s overall PE demand growth for 2019 is estimated at 7%-10%, according to a survey of major traders in the country. While some market participants said overall PE growth of up to 15% was possible next year, many sources did not expect general purpose high density polyethylene and linear low density polyethylene demand to grow as strongly as in past years. “In Vietnam, PE is used [extensively] in shopping bags. For export markets like the EU and US, there has been a push to be more environmentally conscientious, so customers are asking for better quality film and recycled or biodegradable bags,” a Mitsubishi Vietnam trader said. High density bimodal grades and C6 or C8 Metallocene LLDPE will likely to see strong growth because they can be used to create better quality packaging, while LLDPE and LDPE growth is expected to be tepid in the short term, the trader added. “Multilayer [film] for packaging and construction PE like pipe grade demand is increasing [quickly] as a segment,” an OPEC plastic manager said, adding that growth may be up to 20% next year in these segments.?
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