石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據普氏能源資訊新加坡10月24日消息稱，全球最大的液化天然氣生產國卡塔爾能源和工業部長穆罕默德?本?薩利赫?薩達(Mohammad Bin Saleh Al-Sada)周一在名古屋舉行的液化天然氣生產商和消費者大會上表示，該國有望將其液化天然氣產能擴大約43%，至每年1.1億噸。 這是卡塔爾液化天然氣擴張計劃的最新更新，也是迄今為止產量預測最高的一次，而目前的產能為7700萬噸/年。該公司最初表示計劃到2020年達到1億噸/年，此前該公司在2017年取消了為期12年的近海北部油田開發禁令。 盡管面臨來自澳大利亞的競爭，卡塔爾的快速擴張將使其保持全球最大液化天然氣出口國的地位，澳大利亞預計，如果卡塔爾的10個項目全部滿負荷運轉，其液化天然氣出口能力將達到8800萬噸/年。 Al-Sada表示，由于新興市場需求的增長將從本世紀20年代中期開始，甚至更早，卡塔爾計劃將其液化天然氣產量增加至1.1億噸/年，這將有助于滿足全球液化天然氣供應短缺的預期。他補充道：“這項生產計劃于2024年開始?！眹H能源署在其2018年氣體報告中表示，到2020年底全球液化天然氣出口能力將大幅提高，但由于亞洲市場液化天然氣需求增長速度過快，這種供應過?？赡懿粫掷m很久?！叭绻麤]有新的投資，液化天然氣貿易的持續增長，到2023年可能導致市場緊張。 這家總部位于巴黎的能源智庫表示：“由于此類項目的籌備時間很長，需要在未來幾年做出投資決定，以確保到2020年供應充足?！盇l-Sada表示，亞洲經濟體將是液化天然氣需求增長的主要推動者，日本、韓國和臺灣等傳統的液化天然氣消費市場將得到中國和印度新的液化天然氣需求的補充。 Al-Sada表示：“2017年，中國和印度的液化天然氣進口量每年合計增加1400萬噸，分別達到每年3800萬噸和2200萬噸?！?Al-Sada表示，印度和中國的液化天然氣需求增長受到環境考慮和國內市場改革的支撐，到2040年，液化天然氣產量預計將超過管道輸送的天然氣，這將首次占據天然氣貿易的大部分。 他說，就市場基本面而言，液化天然氣行業面臨的挑戰是在買家對有競爭力的價格和供應靈活性的需求與生產商穩定的現金流之間找到平衡點。 曹海斌 摘譯自 普氏能源資訊 原文如下： Qatar to boost LNG production capacity to 110 million mt/year by 2024-minister Qatar, the world’s largest LNG producer, is on track to expand its LNG production capacity by around 43% to 110 million mt/year, Mohammad Bin Saleh Al-Sada, Minister of Energy and Industry, said at the LNG Producer-Consumer Conference in Nagoya on Monday. This is the latest update to Qatar’s LNG expansion plans and its largest production forecast till date compared to its current production capacity of 77 million tons/year. It had initially stated plans to reach 100 million mt/year by 2020, following the lifting of a 12-year moratorium on the development of its offshore North Field in 2017. The rapid pace of Qatar’s expansion will allow it to maintain its position as the world’s top LNG exporter despite competition from Australia that expects to have 88 million mt/year of nameplate LNG export capacity if all its 10 projects reach full capacity. Qatar’s plans to increase its LNG production to 110 million mt/year will help meet the forecasted shortage in global LNG supply starting from, or even earlier than, the mid-2020s due to emerging market demand growth, Al-Sada said. “This production is planned to commence by 2024,” he added. The International Energy Agency said in its Gas 2018 report that global LNG export capacity is ramping up by the end of 2020, but this oversupply could be short-lived due to the pace of LNG demand growth in Asian markets. “Without new investment, the continuous growth of the LNG trade could result in a tight market by 2023. Owing to the long lead time of such projects, investment decisions need to be taken in the next few years to ensure adequate supply through the 2020s,” according to the Paris-based energy think tank. Al-Sada said Asian economies will be the main contributor to LNG demand growth, and traditional LNG consuming markets like Japan, Korea and Taiwan will be supplemented by new LNG demand from China and India. “In 2017, China and India have increased their LNG imports by a combined 14 million tons per annum to reach 38 and 22 million tons/year respectively,” Al-Sada said. Demand growth for LNG in India and China is underpinned by environmental considerations and internal market reforms, and by 2040, LNG volumes are expected to exceed natural gas delivered by pipeline to make up the bulk of gas trades for the first time, Al-Sada said. He said, with regard to market fundamentals, the challenge for the LNG industry is to find a balance between buyers’ need for competitive prices and supply flexibility, and a healthy cash flow for producers.? ?
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