石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據路透社11月13日倫敦消息稱，國際能源署（IEA）周二說，由于推動減少空氣污染和液化天然氣（LNG）使用的增加，預計到2030年，天然氣將取代煤炭成為僅次于石油的全球第二大能源。 總部位于巴黎的國際能源機構在其2018年《世界能源展望》中表示，假設能源使用效率提高，能源需求將在2017年至2040年期間增長超過四分之一，但如果沒有這些改善，需求將增加兩倍。 報告表示，到2040年，全球天然氣需求將以每年1.6％的速度增長，屆時將比現在高出45％。 這些估算是根據IEA的“新政策情景”得出，其中考慮了減少排放和應對氣候變化的立法和政策。他們還假設在燃料使用、建筑和其他因素上有更高的能源效率。 報告稱：“天然氣是新政策背景下增長最快的化石燃料，到2030年超過煤炭成為繼石油之后的第二大能源?！?IEA報告稱，亞洲新興經濟體將占全球天然氣需求增長總量的一半左右，到2040年，它們在液化天然氣進口中的份額將翻倍至60％。 報告稱：“盡管有關全球天然氣市場與石油市場類似的說法為時尚早，但液化天然氣貿易量自2010年以來已大幅增加，并已觸及此前未曾接觸的市場?！?LNG需要將氣體冷卻成液體，因此可以通過船只運輸。 陳菲 摘譯自 路透社 原文如下： Gas to overtake coal as world’s second largest energy source by 2030: IEA Natural gas is expected to overtake coal as the world’s second largest energy source after oil by 2030 due to a drive to cut air pollution and the rise in liquefied natural gas (LNG) use, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday. The Paris-based IEA said in its World Energy Outlook 2018 that energy demand would grow by more than a quarter between 2017 and 2040 assuming more efficient use of energy – but would rise by twice that much without such improvements. Global gas demand would increase by 1.6 percent a year to 2040 and would be 45 percent higher by then than today, it said. The estimates are based on the IEA’s “New Policies Scenario” that takes into account legislation and policies to reduce emissions and fight climate change. They also assume more energy efficiencies in fuel use, buildings and other factors. “Natural gas is the fastest growing fossil fuel in the New Policies Scenario, overtaking coal by 2030 to become the second-largest source of energy after oil,” the report said. Emerging economies in Asia would account for about half of total global gas demand growth and their share of LNG imports would double to 60 percent by 2040, the IEA report said. “Although talk of a global gas market similar to that of oil is premature, LNG trade has expanded substantially in volume since 2010 and has reached previously isolated markets,” it said. LNG involves cooling gas to a liquid so it can transported by ship.
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