石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據路透社11月19日倫敦消息稱，由于最大出口國沙特阿拉伯將在今年年底前推動歐佩克和俄羅斯削減供應，油價周一連續第四個交易日上漲。 格林威治標準時間1000布倫特原油期貨上漲24美分至每桶67.00美元，而美國期貨上漲38美分至56.84美元。 印度能源咨詢公司Trifecta的主管Sukrit Vijayakar說：“油價繼續回升……因為市場將密切關注供應削減可能產生的影響?！?以沙特阿拉伯為首的歐佩克正在推動該組織及其合作伙伴每天減產100萬桶至140萬桶，以防止未使用的燃料積聚。 PVM Oil Associates策略師Tamas Varga表示：“市場似乎認為減產是理所當然的。我們將在12月6日的下一次歐佩克會議之后看到它是否正確。在此之前預測穩定價格并非不合理?！?俄羅斯能源部長亞歷山大諾瓦克周一表示，非歐佩克成員國的俄羅斯計劃與歐佩克簽署合作協議，具體在12月6日于維也納舉行的歐佩克會議上討論。 盡管周一油價有所上漲，但布倫特原油價格仍較2018年10月初86.74美元的峰值低了近25%，因有跡象顯示需求放緩，美國、俄羅斯和沙特阿拉伯的產量觸及歷史新高。 本月，基金經理將原油期貨和期權的看漲風險降至2017年年中以來以來的最低水平。 Weekly交易所數據顯示，基基金經理持有的凈多頭頭寸總計約為3.64億桶美國和布蘭特原油期貨和期權，低于兩個月前的逾8億桶。 ActivTrades首席分析師Carlo Alberto De Casa表示：“因投資者不再相信原油供應緊張的風險，主要趨勢依然看跌?！?陳菲 摘譯自 路透社 原文如下： Oil rises for a fourth day, buoyed by OPEC supply plans Oil rose for a fourth session in a row on Monday, buoyed by the prospect that top exporter Saudi Arabia will push OPEC and maybe Russia to cut supply towards the end of this year. Brent crude futures were up 24 cents at $67.00 a barrel by 1000 GMT, while U.S. futures rose 38 cents to $56.84. “Oil prices continued to recover … (as) the market will be watching closely for the possible impact of a (supply) cut,” said Sukrit Vijayakar, director of Indian energy consultancy Trifecta. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, led by Saudi Arabia, is pushing for the group and its partners to reduce output by 1 million to 1.4 million barrels per day to prevent a build-up of unused fuel. “It appears that the market takes a production cut for granted. We’ll see if it is right after the next OPEC meeting on December 6. It is not unreasonable to anticipate stable prices until then,” PVM Oil Associates strategist Tamas Varga said. Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said on Monday that Russia, which is not an OPEC member, planned to sign a partnership agreement with the group, and that details would be discussed at OPEC’s Dec. 6 meeting in Vienna. Despite Monday’s gains, Brent is almost 25 percent below early October’s 2018 peak of $86.74, as evidence of slowing demand has materialised and output from the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia hit historic highs. Fund managers cut their bullish exposure to crude futures and options to the lowest since around mid-2017 this month. Weekly exchange data shows money managers hold a combined net long position equivalent to around 364 million barrels of U.S. and Brent crude futures and options, down from over 800 million barrels two months ago. “The main trend remains bearish as investors no longer believe in a risk of supply tightness for crude,” ActivTrades chief analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa said.
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