石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據普氏能源資訊 亞洲原油期貨周四上午交易時段走低，美國每周庫存數據顯示看跌和看漲的情況共存，市場關注焦點仍在歐佩克/非歐佩克在十二月召開的會議上。 在新加坡時間上午10:15（格林威治時間 02:15），洲際交易所一月布倫特原油期貨從星期三的結算價63.30美元/桶，下跌18美分（0.28%），而紐約商品交易所一月輕質低硫原油合約則每桶下跌17美分（0.31%），為54.46美元/桶。 美國能源信息管理局（EIA）星期三公布的數據顯示，截至11月16日的一周，美國原油庫存上漲485萬桶，達到44691萬桶。這標志著連續九周的增長，該增長量也超過了分析師對280萬桶的預期。 法國興業銀行分析師在一份報告中表示：“由于原油庫存增加，原油價格連續第九周被看低?！?數據顯示，美國煉油廠的利用率在本周上升了2.6個百分點，達到九周來的最高水平，可以達到92.7%的產能。煉油利用率從10月中旬的88.8%反彈，目前與去年同期持平。 分析師表示，盡管美國原油庫存數據是被看跌的,但伴隨而來的石油產品數據為油價提供了保障。 EIA數據顯示，美國汽油庫存本周下跌130萬桶，為22532萬桶，而美國餾分油庫存則下跌77000桶，為11919萬桶。 澳新銀行分析師在一份報告中表示：“盡管美國上周的庫存增加了485萬桶，但汽油和餾分油庫存的下降一定程度上恢復了市場的情緒?！?大華銀行分析師在一份報告中表示：“在美國政府數據顯示對精煉燃料的強勁需求之后，油價從數月來最低點開始回升,但全球原油供應增長仍令人擔憂.” 與此同時，普氏能源全球貿易流業務的臨時數據顯示，11月上半月從沙特阿拉伯發運的原油日產量高達780萬桶，高于10月份的756萬桶。 沙特阿拉伯本月早些時候向利雅得的聯合組織數據倡議提交的自我報告中稱其9月份原油出口平均為743萬桶/日。 這是12月6日在維也納召開的歐佩克/非歐佩克會議的一個開端，在那次會議上，生產國將討論是否削減原油產量。 德國商業銀行分析師在報告中表示：“2014年底，正是歐佩克決定不減產引發了油價下滑，因此不太可能用兩個星期的時間在歐佩克的會議上重復這樣的決定，可能同意減產至少100萬桶/日,一些非歐佩克成員國也可能會簽約?！?他們補充說：“我們認為石油市場處于夸大階段，預計最遲在OPEC會議之后油價將顯著回升?！?截止格林威治時間 02:15時，美國美元指數下跌0.01%，為96.565。 王磊 摘譯自 普氏能源資訊 原文如下： Crude oil futures were lower during mid-morning trade in Asia Thursday amid a mix of bullish and bearish indicators in weekly US inventory data as market focus remains on the OPEC/non-OPEC meet in December. At 10:15 am Singapore time (0215 GMT), ICE January Brent crude futures were down 18 cents/b (0.28%) from Wednesday’s settle at $63.30/b, while NYMEX January light sweet crude contract was 17 cents/b (0.31%) lower at $54.46/b. US crude stocks rose 4.85 million barrels to 446.91 million barrels in the week ended November 16, US Energy information Administration data released Wednesday showed. The build marks the ninth straight week of increase and exceeded analyst expectations of a 2.8 million-barrel build. “For the ninth consecutive week, crude oil was bearish due to a stock build,” Societe Generale analysts said in a note. US refinery utilization rose 2.6 percentage points in the week to a nine-week high of 92.7% of capacity, the data showed. Refinery utilization has rebounded from 88.8% in mid-October to be currently in line with year-ago levels. While the data on US crude stocks was bearish, the accompanying oil products data provided a floor to prices, analysts said. US gasoline stocks fell 1.3 million barrels in the week to 225.32 million barrels, while US distillate stocks fell 77,000 barrels to 119.19 million barrels, the EIA data showed. “Despite US inventories rising by 4.85 million barrels last week, the drop in stockpiles of gasoline and distillate helped support sentiment in the market,” ANZ analysts said in a note. “Oil prices recovered from the lowest levels in months after US government data showed strong demand for refined fuel, but concerns remained over rising global crude supply,” UOB analysts said in a note. Meanwhile, provisional data from S&P Global Platts trade flow service cFlow showed crude shipments from Saudi Arabia in the first half of November were as high as 7.80 million b/d, up from 7.56 million b/d in October. Saudi Arabia self-reported to the Riyadh-based Joint Organizations Data Initiative earlier this month that its September crude exports averaged 7.43 million b/d. This comes in the leadup to the OPEC/non-OPEC meeting in Vienna December 6 where producer countries will debate whether to cut crude production. “At the end of 2014, it was OPEC’s decision not to cut production that sparked the price slide. This is unlikely to be repeated at OPEC’s meeting in a good two weeks’ time. A production cut of at least 1 million b/d will probably be agreed there, with a number of non-OPEC countries also likely to sign up,” Commezbank analysts said in a note. “We see the oil market as being in a phase of exaggeration and expect a noticeable price recovery after the OPEC meeting at the latest,” they added. As of 0215 GMT, the US Dollar Index was down 0.01% at 96.565.
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