石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據彭博社12月14日消息，由于歐佩克+組織減產措施的效果仍不確定，石油正在努力在每桶52美元附近站穩腳跟，傳奇交易商安迪霍爾表示美國頁巖熱潮使得全球供應更難預測。 在經歷了過去幾個交易日的漲跌之后，紐約期貨本周下跌0.4%。俄羅斯承諾減產以及沙特阿拉伯下個月削減對美出口的計劃，這提振了市場的樂觀情緒，認為供過于求的局面是可以避免的。不過，投資者仍對美國產量的提升表示擔憂?；魻栐诮邮懿稍L時說，很難判斷“數千個”頁巖鉆探決定將如何影響市場。 自本月到目前為止，由于投資者評估歐佩克及其盟國所承諾的減產，原油價格自2017年初以來一直處于最窄區間。國際能源署表示，卡特爾成員國的意外停產可能會使其原定的減產措施增加一倍?；魻柋硎?，交易商在衡量美國油井和鉆井平臺生產力方面面臨巨大差距，這是西德克薩斯和新墨西哥二疊紀盆地未來前景的關鍵因素。 紐約商品交易所1月交付的西德克薩斯中質原油在新加坡時間下午3:18下跌19美分至每桶52.39美元，這是自11月下半月以來的首次周跌幅。該貿易合約在周四收盤時上漲1.43美元至52.58美元。成交量較100天平均值高出14％。 倫敦ICE期貨歐洲交易所2月交付的布倫特原油期貨價格下跌39美分至每桶61.06美元。周四期貨結算價上漲2.2％至61.45美元。同期，全球基準原油交易價格較西德克薩斯中質原油每桶溢價8.50美元。 曹海斌 摘譯自 彭博社 原文如下： Oil Stutters Near $52 as OPEC+ Curbs Weighed Against Shale Surge Oil is struggling to gain a footing near $52 a barrel as the effectiveness of the OPEC+ group’s output curbs remains uncertain, with legendary trader Andy Hall saying the U.S. shale boom has made it harder to predict global supplies. After veering between gains and losses over the past few sessions, New York futures are down 0.4 percent this week. Russia’s pledge to cut as well as Saudi Arabia’s plan to slash exports to the U.S. next month has lifted optimism that a glut can be averted. Still, investors are concerned about booming American output. It’s not easy to tell how “thousands” of individual shale drilling decisions will impact the market, Hall said in an interview. Crude has traded in the narrowest range since early 2017 so far this month as investors assess production cuts pledged by OPEC and its allies. The International Energy Agency said unplanned outages in the cartel’s member states may double its intended curbs. Still, traders face big gaps in gauging U.S. well and rig productivity, key factors going forward for the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico, according to Hall. West Texas Intermediate for January delivery traded 19 cents lower at $52.39 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 3:18 p.m. in Singapore, and is poised for its first weekly drop since the second half of November. The contract closed Thursday’s session $1.43 higher at $52.58. Total volume traded was 14 percent above the 100-day average. Brent for February settlement decreased 39 cents to $61.06 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures Europe exchange. Futures settled 2.2 percent higher at $61.45 on Thursday. The global benchmark crude traded at an $8.50 a barrel premium to WTI for the same month. ?
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