石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據普氏能源資訊休斯頓12月14日消息，由于需求持續下降，紐交所1月天然氣期貨合約出現同樣情況，周五交易下跌29.7美分。 近月合約結算價為3.827美元/ MMBtu。 冬季剩余時間的月度合約緊隨其后，2月份下跌27.4美分至3.753美元/ MMBtu，3月份下跌25美分至3.606美元/ MMBtu。 這一跌幅使得近月天然氣期貨合約價格觸及11月12日3.788美元/ MMBtu以來的最低點。 這也標志著本周1月合約第二次日跌逾20美分。周三該指數下跌27.1美分。 自周一以4545美元/ MMBtu結算以來，1月份的合約已經下跌了63.9美分。 弗林說：“當它變冷的時候，每個人都嚇壞了，但現在看起來它會變得更加溫暖，所有這些恐懼都會消失?！?普氏分析師周五估計美國需求量為855億立方英尺，較周四的985億立方英尺消耗量下降36億立方英尺。 自周一達到1054億立方英尺以來，需求一直處于下降狀態。本周的平均日需求為964億立方英尺。 這一跌勢預計將持續到周六，屆時對840億立方英尺的需求預計將持續。之后，消費預測略有增強，下周平均為882億立方英尺/日，下下周為919億立方英尺/日。 但這一水平仍然落后于本月迄今為止的需求，盡管本周需求大幅下跌，但日均需求仍為962億立方英尺。 與此同時，干氣產量仍然接近歷史最高水平。周四的抽氣量為845億立方英尺。弗林說：“這是一個巨大的數字?！?年初至今的產量平均為805億立方英尺/日。在2017年的這一時候，平均值為719億立方英尺/日。 曹海斌 摘譯自 普氏能源資訊 原文如下： NYMEX January natural gas futures contract falls 29.7 cents to lowest level in a month With demand continuing to descend, the NYMEX natural gas January contract followed the same path, dropping 29.7 cents in Friday trading. The front-month contract settled at $3.827/MMBtu. Monthly contracts for the rest of the winter followed suit, with February dropping 27.4 cents to $3.753/MMBtu and March down 25 cents to $3.606/MMBtu. That drop put the front-month at its lowest point since reaching $3.788/MMBtu November 12. The drop also marked the second time this week the January contract lost more than 20 cents day on day. On Wednesday, it fell 27.1 cents. The January contract has shed 63.9 cents since settling at $4.545/MMBtu Monday. “When it got cold, everybody was freaking out, but now it looks like it’s going to be a warmer winter and all those fears are going away,” Flynn said. S&P Global Platts Analytics estimated US demand at 85.5 Bcf Friday, a drop of 3.6 Bcf from Thursday’s consumption of 98.5 Bcf. Demand has been in freefall since reaching 105.4 Bcf Monday The average for the week was 96.4 Bcf/d. The slide is expected to continue Saturday, when demand for 84 Bcf is expected. After that, the consumption forecast strengthens a bit, averaging 88.2 Bcf/d over the next week and 91.9 Bcf/d the following week. But those levels still lag behind the demand seen so far this month, which still has averaged 96.2 Bcf/d, despite this week’s plunge. At the same time, dry production is still running at near-record levels. Thursday’s pull from wells was 84.5 Bcf. “That is a huge number,” Flynn said. Year-to-date production has averaged 80.5 Bcf/d. At this point in 2017, the average was 71.9 Bcf/d. ?
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