石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據今日油價12月21日消息，澳大利亞工業部發布的《資源與能源季報》表示，在2018年下半年澳大利亞另外三座大型海上設施投產后，澳大利亞可能在截至2019年6月底的下一個財年出口更多液化天然氣。 繼雪佛龍和伍德賽德的惠斯通液化天然氣項目和Inpex的Ichthys項目投產后，工業部預計該國下一財年的液化天然氣出口總量將達到7490萬噸。在截至2020年6月底的下一個財政年度，該部預計將進一步增加到7830萬噸。 然而，2018/2019財年的預測假設殼牌的Prelude項目將按計劃在今年年底前投產。然而，殼牌尚未宣布在Prelude項目已經進行商業化生產。 惠斯通在開始生產時，澳大利亞的總液化天然氣產能增加了890萬噸，Ichthys項目又使澳大利亞總產能增加了890萬噸。當它開始生產后，Prelude將每年增加360萬噸液化天然氣。 然而，根據工業部的數據，雖然出口量將會繼續增長，但從它們那里獲得的收益可能不會出現這種情況。 《資源與能源季刊》稱：“隨著全球大宗商品供應的改善，這些大宗商品價格預計將在未來一段時間內小幅下跌。這些價格下跌將大大抵消同期出口量增長的影響，導致2019 – 2020年出口收入小幅下降。然而，出口收益仍應遠高于2017 – 2018年的水平，這反映了資源和能源商品市場的緊張以及澳大利亞商品產量增長的好處。 據路透社數據顯示，澳大利亞11月成為世界上最大的液化天然氣出口國，出口量超過卡塔爾，達650萬噸。相比之下，卡塔爾的產量為620萬噸。 曹海斌 摘譯自 今日油價 原文如下： Australia Expects Higher LNG Exports Next Year Australia will likely export more liquefied natural gas in the next financial year—to end-June 2019—after the start of production of three more large-scale facilities offshore during the second half of 2018, the Resources and Energy Quarterly report by the Australian Department of Industry said. Following the launch of production at Chevron’s and Woodside’s Wheatstone LNG project and Inpex’ Ichthys, the Department of Industry expects the country’s total LNG exports next fiscal year to reach 74.9 million tons. In the next financial year, to end-June 2020, the department sees a further increase, to 78.3 million tons. The FY 2018/2019 forecast, however, assumes Shell’s Prelude project will begin production before this year’s end, as scheduled. However, Shell has not yet announced the launch of commercial production at Prelude. Wheatstone added 8.9 million tons of LNG to Australia’s total liquefaction capacity when it began producing, with Ichthys adding another 8.9 million tons. When it begins production, Prelude will boost this by another 3.6 million tons of LNG annually. However, although export volumes will grow, this may not be the case for earnings from them, according to the Department of Industry. “Bulk commodity prices are expected to decline modestly over the outlook period,” the the Resources and Energy Quarterly report said, “as global supply of these commodities improves. These price declines will more than offset the impact of growth in export volumes during that period, leading to a modest decline in export earnings in 2019–20. Export earnings should still be well above 2017–18 levels however, reflecting the tightness of resource and energy commodity markets and the benefits of rising Australian commodity production.” Australia in November became the world’s top LNG exporter, surpassing Qatar with an export rate of 6.5 million tons, according to Reuters data. This compares to 6.2 million tons for Qatar. ?
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