石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據世界石油12月25日消息 由于對全球經濟和華盛頓動蕩的擔憂掩蓋了歐佩克可能加深減產的信號，原油價格跌至一年半以來的最低水平。 紐約期貨圣誕前夜交易日收窄，期貨價格下跌6.7%，投資者評估政府關停帶來的威脅時，美國期貨市場也隨之下挫。最新的跌勢使原油價格自10月份達到四年高點以來下跌了44%，其中包括自歐佩克和俄羅斯本月早些時候宣布大幅減產以來下跌的19%。 紐約對沖基金能源避險基金有限公司（Again Capital LLC）的合伙人John Kilduff表示：“隨著股市下跌，金融市場普遍緊張，這只是在壓低價格，需求前景繼續受到質疑?！?歐佩克及其盟國12月7日同意減產，但迄今為止，它們在支撐油價方面并沒有取得什么成效。阿拉伯聯合酋長國的能源部長暗示，明年可能會討論更多的限制措施。投資者對減產是否足以削弱供應持懷疑態度，美國原油產量仍高于1100萬桶/日。 與此同時，中美之間正在進行的貿易戰和美聯儲的利率政策正在引起對全球經濟增長的擔憂，標準普爾500指數周一下跌2.7%，能源指數下跌4%。 紐約商品交易所結算時，西德克薩斯州中質原油2月份交割的價格下跌3.06美元/桶，至42.53美元/桶。周一成交量較周二圣誕假期前的100日均值低30%左右，WTI在10月初觸頂，接近77美元/桶。 倫敦ICE歐洲期貨交易所2月份結算的布倫特原油價格下跌3.35美元/桶，至50.47美元/桶，全球基準原油的交易價格比WTI高7.94美元。 歐盟能源部長Suhail Al Mazrouei表示，如果目前的減產措施還不夠，歐佩克可以舉行一次特別會議，決定進一步減產。在科威特的一次新聞發布會上，伊拉克、歐盟和阿爾及利亞的部長們輪流重申歐佩克將實施生產限制并繼續與盟國合作的信息。 Kilduff表示，關于歐佩克的減產，他們必須以重大的方式貫徹他們的言辭，以便阻止油價下跌。 王磊 摘譯自 世界石油 原文如下： Crude fell to the lowest level in a year and a half as concerns over the global economy and turbulence in Washington overshadowed signals from OPEC that it may deepen output cuts. Futures slid 6.7% in a shortened Christmas Eve session in New York, joining a rout in U.S. stocks as investors assess the threat from a government shutdown. The latest tumble left crude prices down 44% since reaching a four-year peak in October — including a 19% falloff since OPEC and Russia announced major output cuts earlier this month. “As stocks get taken down and there is nervousness across financial markets, it’s just undercutting prices here,” said John Kilduff, a partner at New York-based hedge fund Again Capital LLC. “The demand outlook continues to be called into question.” OPEC and its allies agreed to cut production on Dec. 7, but they’ve had little success so far in propping up prices. The United Arab Emirates’ energy minister signaled additional curbs could be discussed next year. Investors are skeptical the reductions will be sufficient to dent supplies, with U.S. crude output still above 11 MMbpd. At the same time, an ongoing trade war between the U.S. and China and the Federal Reserve’s rate policy are causing concerns over global economic growth. The S&P 500 Index sank 2.7% Monday, with its energy index shedding 4 percent. West Texas Intermediate for February delivery fell $3.06/bbl to $42.53/bbl at settlement on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Total volume traded Monday was about 30% below the 100-day average ahead of the Christmas holiday Tuesday. WTI peaked near $77/bbl in early October. Brent for February settlement dipped $3.35/bbl to $50.47/bbl on London’s ICE Futures Europe exchange. The global benchmark crude traded at an $7.94 premium to WTI. Suhail Al Mazrouei, the U.A.E.’s energy minister, said that OPEC has the option to hold an extraordinary meeting to decide on more output cuts if the current one isn’t enough. At a press briefing in Kuwait, ministers from Iraq, the U.A.E. and Algeria took turns repeating the message that OPEC will deliver its production curbs and continue to work with its allies. As for OPEC’s cuts, “they have to follow through on their rhetoric in a significant way” in order for the price decline to stop, Kilduff said. ?
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