石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據World Oil網奧斯陸1月7日消息 挪威石油游說公司提高了對該國石油行業投資的預測，因為在長達三年的經濟低迷期間，削減成本使得項目更加有利可圖，甚至能夠抵御最近原油價格的暴跌。 挪威油氣協會（Norwegian Oil and gas Association）周一在年度預測中表示，在挪威運營的油氣公司將在2019年投資1845億克朗(合215億美元)。這比2018年增長了16%，而2017年12月的預測是1530億克朗。 該集團提高了2022年之前每年的支出預測。公司預計投資將在今年達到峰值，2020年保持不變，然后在2023年降至1415億克朗。該游說公司稱，在圍繞石油稅等問題展開公開辯論后，這些預測取決于石油行業保持穩定的框架條件。2018年，由于大宗商品價格上漲和成本大幅下降，四年來挪威油氣行業的投資首次出現增長。 盡管基準布倫特原油價格在過去3個月從85美元/桶降至58美元/桶左右，但仍高于2016年不到30美元/桶的低點。至關重要的是，它們的價格也超過了近期挪威近海項目盈虧平衡所需的價格。 吳慧丹 摘譯自 World Oil 原文如下： Norway oil lobby hikes spending forecasts, sees 16% jump in 2019 Norway’s oil lobby raised its forecast for investments in the country’s petroleum industry as cost cuts during a three-year downturn made projects more profitable and able to withstand even the recent slump in crude prices. Oil and gas companies operating in Norway will invest 184.5 billion kroner ($21.5 billion) in 2019, the Norwegian Oil and Gas Association said in annual forecasts on Monday. That’s a 16% jump from 2018 and compares to a prediction of 153 billion kroner made in December 2017. The group raised spending forecasts for each year through 2022. It expects investments to peak this year, remain little changed in 2020, and then drop to 141.5 billion kroner in 2023. The lobby warned that these forecasts depend on framework conditions remaining stable for the industry, following public debate surrounding issues like petroleum taxes. Investments in Norway’s oil and gas industry rose for the first time in four years in 2018, thanks to higher commodity prices and drastic cost reductions. Despite benchmark Brent crude dipping from $85/bbl to about $58/bbl in the past three months, prices remain above the lows of less than $30 in 2016. Crucially, they also exceed the price needed by recent projects offshore Norway to break even.
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