石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據彭博社紐約、華盛頓消息，一年前，美國政府預計2042年美國原油產量平均為1195萬桶/日，而今年的頁巖鉆塔數量顯示，美國石油產量將超過這個數字。 根據能源信息署（EIA）上周四發布的年度能源展望，該署目前估計，到2031年，其產出將達到1453萬桶/日。 為什么會有如此大的不同？根據EIA評估，近期原油價格高于該機構去年假設的水平，從而提高了基線產量。 EIA署長Linda Capuano表示，EIA本月早些時候在其短期展望中指出的：明年美國將成為石油和能源的凈出口國，比先前的年度估計要快好幾年，而這是由于原油和天然氣液體生產增長較快，再加上需求增長緩慢造成的。 總部位于華盛頓的咨詢公司ClearView Energy董事總經理Kevin Book稱：“美國轉向凈出口的時間應該是五到六年?！?詹曉晶摘自彭博社 原文如下： U.S. oil production is only 23 years ahead of schedule, EIA says A year ago, the U.S. government saw American crude production averaging 11.95 MMbpd in 2042. Shale drillers are set to exceed that this year. The Energy Information Administration now estimates output will top out at 14.53 MMbpd in 2031, according to its Annual Energy Outlook released Thursday. Why such a big difference? Near-term prices are higher than what the agency assumed last year, boosting the baseline production, according to the EIA. The U.S. will be a net exporter of petroleum — and energy in general — next year, years sooner than previous annual estimates, something the EIA flagged in its short-term outlook earlier this month. That’s due to the faster increases in crude and natural gas liquids production, combined with slower demand growth, according to EIA Administrator Linda Capuano. “America’s move to net exports was supposed to be five or six years off,” said Kevin Book, managing director of the Washington-based consultancy ClearView Energy Partners LLC. ? ?
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