石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據世界石油網站2月27日卡爾加里報道 艾伯塔省油砂產量的持續增長和今年上半年原油價格的上漲，通過影響經濟增長的管道匱乏推高了該省的預算。 政府預計到三月份的財政年度赤字將達52.7億美元（69.3億加元），這一數字低于3月份的原始預測值88億加元和11月份的最新預測值75.1億加元。 推動財務狀況改善的是艾伯塔省豐富的油砂產量的小幅且穩定增長，這也體現著其世界第三大原油儲備的地位，也是今年上半年油價上漲的體現。盡管缺乏管道空間和存在著一項將在今年上半年減少產量的臨時削減計劃，但數年來開始大量生產石油的大型項目推動的產量增長即將到來。 艾伯塔省預測，2019年該省的石油產量將增加約13.2萬桶/日，增幅為3.8%，其中大部分將在下半年實現，因為新管道投入使用，削減計劃也將逐步取消，這一增長將伴隨著去年近10%的增長。 然而，管道瓶頸已經使石油生產商的資本支出降溫，這正影響著該省的經濟增長。政府預計去年的經濟增長率為2.4%，低于3月份預測的2.7%。今年艾伯塔省預計經濟增長率為1.6%，低于3月份預測的2.5%。 王磊 摘譯自 世界石油 原文如下： Resilient oil sands power Alberta budget through pipeline morass A relentless increase in production from Alberta’s oil sands and higher crude prices in the first half of the year are powering the province’s budget through a pipeline shortage that has weighed on economic growth. The government is projecting a deficit of $5.27 billion (C$6.93 billion) for the fiscal year that runs through March. That’s down from an original forecast of C$8.8 billion in March and C$7.51 billion in an update in November. Driving the improving financial picture is a small but steady increase in output from Alberta’s prolific oil sands, which represent the world’s third-largest crude reserves, as well as a surge in oil prices in the first half of the year. The production gain, fueled by large projects that took years to start churning out oil, is coming despite a shortage of pipeline space and a temporary curtailment plan that will reduce output in the first half of this year. Alberta forecast that oil production in the province will increase by about 132,000 bpd in 2019, a gain of 3.8%, with most of that in the second half of the year as new pipelines come into service and the curtailment plan is phased out. That increase would follow an almost 10% gain last year. However, the pipeline bottleneck has chilled capital spending by oil producers, which is weighing on economic growth in the province. The government estimates economic growth of 2.4% for last year, down from a forecast of 2.7% in March. For the current year, Alberta is projecting economic growth of 1.6%, down from a 2.5% forecast in March. US crude oil imports averaged 5.9 million b/d, down by 1.6 million b/d from the previous week. Over the last 4 weeks, crude oil imports averaged 6.7 million b/d, 10.9% less than the same period last year. Total motor gasoline imports averaged 473,000 b/d. Distillate fuel imports averaged 331,000 b/d. ?
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