石油圈中國石化新聞網訊 據普氏能源資訊2019年3月12日,休斯敦報道，資深行業觀察家和大型石油公司長期首席執行官約翰·赫斯周一表示，盡管近幾年來越來越多的可再生能源不斷推動減少溫室氣體排放，然而，石油和天然氣在接下來的至少15年內很可能仍是世界能源結構中的重要組成部分。 赫斯是在由IHS Market舉辦的2019年CERAWeek會議的一場有關石油公司戰略的座談會發表上述講話的。赫斯表示，除非出現根本的新技術突破，否則石油和天然氣很可能到2024年仍將占全球能源結構的一半左右。 但赫斯表示，上游產業投資不足和油價波動已導致生產商不敢提高資本預算。 赫斯指出：“最大的挑戰……尤其是在經歷了3年的熊市油價處在每桶40至50美元之間之后，如何在國內現金流受到相當大壓力的情況下加大投資，才是關鍵所在?！?赫斯援引國際能源署（IEA）的估計，全球每年需要投資5800億美元保持全球石油和天然氣產量的足夠增長來滿足需求并抵消產量下降的影響。3年前，年開支是3500億美元，兩年前是3700億美元，去年是4100億美元，今年的支出估計在4200億美元。 李峻 編譯自 Platts 原文如下： Oil, gas likely to stay major fuels for years, but producers need to spend more: John Hess Despite increasing renewable energy in recent years and an ongoing push to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, oil and natural gas are likely to remain a major part of the world’s energy mix for the next at least 15 years, veteran industry observer and John Hess, the long-time CEO of large oil company Hess Corp. said Monday. Barring a radical new technology breakthrough, oil and gas are likely to still comprise about half the energy mix in 2040, John Hess said during a panel on oil company strategies amid a changing industry at 2019 CERAWeek by IHS Market. But the upstream industry is not investing enough, and the volatility of oil prices have caused producers to shy away from raising their capital budgets, Hess said. “The biggest challenge … especially after having a bear market for three years where oil prices were $40-$50/b, is how to invest more even though internal cash flows have been stressed quite a bit,” he said. Hess cited the International Energy Agency’s estimates that the world needs to invest $580 billion/year to keep global oil and gas growing enough to meet demand and offset production declines. Three years ago, $350 billion/year was spent, two years ago $370 billion, last year $410 billion, and the estimate for this year is $420 billion. ?
未經允許，不得轉載本站任何文章：
